Overvalued
Hold band
Undervalued
Fair value
Fiscal year — hover for figures
PriceUp dayDown day
Bear–bull range
All values in USD
These apply to every stock and are remembered. Everything else you can change — the case probabilities, the earnings forecasts, the model — belongs to the company you are looking at.
Width of the grey hold band around fair value. Wider below on purpose — that is your margin of safety.
Not financial advice. This is the arithmetic of a model running on assumptions you set yourself — change them and the answer changes. Verify anything before you act on it; your decisions and their consequences are your own.